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Home My WebLink AboutPACKET Light and Power 1994-03-10AGENDA Light and Power Cointii ittee March 10, 1994 10:00 a.m., Board Room 1. Telephone System Improvement Program o Presentation by U.S. West 2. Reports A. 1994 Ten Year Load and Energy Forecast B. Financial Report C. Project Updates D. Integrated Resource Plan Public Participation Workshop-4/22/94 E. Platte River Power Autliority NOTE: The Light and Power Committee reserves the right to consider other appropriate items not available at the time the agenda was prepared. Town of Estes Park Light and Power Department Ten Year Load Forecast 1994 2a-1 . 0 TT - 900-Z - DOOZ -- EOOZ - Zooz - LOOZ - 0001 - 6661 - 866 L - L66 L - 9661 -- 9661 - +66 1 - Â£66 L - E661 x -- Â£661. -- 0661 1 6861. M>I IN31SAS 2a-2 26,000 - ACTU 1989 24,000 - ' 1990 - 1991 22,000 - - 1992 1 1993 20,000 - 1994 - 000'8 L 000'9 L Tl - 9002 - - tooz - COOZ 1 - zoot - LOOZ - 0001 - 6661 - 866l - Â£66l - 966 1 - 9661 - *661 - Â£66 1 - 1661 - 166 1 1\ - 066 1 ~' 6861 H/V\Vy I/\I31SAS 2a-3 MMWZUMC.ALL 2/10/94 ' ACTUAL * 1989 6 1990 110,000 - - 1991 166 1 - EGGL : *66 L . MWH FORECAST COMPARISONS 140,000 - 130,000 - 120,000 - - 000'00 L - 000'06 000'08 i f M C) 4 00 h 9 h 00 0 0 0 N If) 32 32 01 4 (0 00 0 0 10 O N r- r- LO If) N r. 4 Nt .2 6 04O4NOON : O r- 1 r- 1 1 rl '- INN ~ ,- 04 r-C)#ONOT-401/+NLOCD -0 -0 m m h 0 0 0 m 9 co 00.- h 01 C; Ci~ O CO O 06 4 FLON#ANN40 tr; N 00 cri m LL tO O) 9 00 M 00 G) tO N tO h r- 9- h (0 (0 -1 to 4 Lr) 9 LO LO Ir) 10 10 LO 9 0 0 tO 1.0 tO 00000000000000 do Z 9- 0 9 0 0 00 N 4 00 0 4 In N h h (0 - 00 00 h (0 h h 00 IN (D h (0 00 00 h hr- ~00000000000000 do D 0 y O N 00 0 4 CD 00 0 0 9 10 N CO N aa aâ‚¬ < O m N r- cr) M 0, 9 5 0 0 01 h. e U.1 0#0Ohâ€¢-r-00=fhe-Ne# N r# 0- N 01 0 10 4 9 4 In h O 0 0 0 00 r- O 4 N 0- Z %% MMOâ€¢-000(â€¢,NONhor-OCON 32 32 U-1 4 9 9 (9 9 M OO h N (9 N N M O r- 0- E h h h C) (9 0 0 5 00 0 9- 00 4 r 00 0 0)00)0)Or-- r- r- (\1(9(90=1- 10 LO E O 1--r-r-,-r- r--Â·r-r-r-r- m 09 0 0 U.1 J 4 01 r- 10 00 4 00 4- r- O C) O r In 05 u-; occicolooddl< rn NONG (9 r- 10 (9 00 O (9 C) N r- M o r- r- ~ 4 0 4 10 0-) 00 N M O C) N (0 0 10 1< h Nmh W cri doid cri d 1< N 1.0 10 (D (D (O h 1- h h 00 00 00 00 C) LU o r-- N Cr) 9 LO (D h oo 01 O r- N CO 1- 00 00 00 00 00 00 co 00 co 00 C) C) C) C1 < 01 C) C) 0-) 0) 0, C) 0-) 0-) C) 0-) 03 01 01 2a-4 2/10/94 Way E 39Â¥d WH SUM PE % MWH %PEAK ARK LIGHT POWER DEPARTMENT ARK TOTAL CITY LOAD STORY DAV BV)A 3Ald DAV HÂ¥3* Nal LDHIST.XLS ~2 0 rn m m cl e m m m cl m m Â«ONNNWCNINNNIVNN 1-1-1 d M e e M m m e M CD crS m I 00 (D (0 0 0 (D O (D (O 0 (D CD 20)00000000000 jl~(90(9(90(ricâ€¢imerne LL (D CD (D (O 0 (D CD (O LO LO Lr) If) -1 10 1.0 tO 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LO 10 000000000000 Z r. t.t. r. t.rt r. r.r. r. t.h -haBI~â€¢hhhNhr-hr- f. 20 60000000000 0 6Â£ D 1Â£ m N r- Or- 4 0 00 ,- C) m e <Ir,hr-hLO tr) hNOO)Nh U.1 9-- rÂ· =1- Or. rt r- 01 h 4 rn r- O- C) 01 0 1- r N 01 03 9 In O h 4 r-r-NNNNMCNMNNN 0- Z m KE U) 12 00 N r h 00 h m h 01 r N 9 LU k htf) 91- 9 co OcD MN# AN U.1 (O r- CD r- o N h CO C) Lo r- 00 O- 91- In 10 (D (D h h co co C) O 0 D U) I m to r- O O C) h 4 (1 10 9 10 3 06 h Ir; 4 M o d 05 06 0 N 4 =REXG (9(00)91-Or-91-4 hr90-)LONOO)O 41<deridaiNdornRr- 0)030000â€¢-r-NNNe !-u w Lo CO T. CO CR O r- N M 4 to "0)0)00)00)000000 <01010)00)03000000 Orr ,- r- V- r- NNMNNN 2a-5 Way L 39Vd LUMIb I .Al-b 2/10/94 RK TOTAL LOAD LOAD FORECAST OLUS<Z 12 R - DOOZ - ZOOZ - 0001 -- 866L - 966 L a <[ z - +661 OO E F 1- LU 00 I m 1- LU 00 9 8 I. - Z66L MO 0 0 -- 066L 92 z W it: IO U) - 886L I 2 91 - 986L . - *86L - 186 L 086L <zzl<J j*I 2a-6 LDHISTCT.XLC 3/9/94 130,000 - - 30,000 120,000 - - 28,000 - 26,000 - 24,000 - 22,000 D 000'oz - 000'8 L - 000'9 1 - 000'* 1 - - 000'0* 000'Z L 000'OE ESTES PARK LI & POWER ENERGY F CAST hIVEA 110,000 - 100,000 - 90,000 - 80,000 - - 000'OL - 000'09 - 000'09 1 m moo t .1 1 melÂ©0004'1- 1(91 MINI m I 1 NmWINI MUINCOOLO IWI O 1 1-0 1 1-1 1 Al OOWL-O 101 W=r.-1004'1-INI .r-INI Int m 1 1 4--1 .1 1 .1 .1 .1 .1 m E--11 tn 41 Ln 1 0 1 int-ANLOO 101 inimi mi alitaâ€¢, toi .LrIO.=r.'Ln toi 0 1.-11 .-11 r-1 >1 1 LA , W 1 m , an I .-1 1 1 un I 1 0 1 1 1 1 11 1 i It 1 1 It ' 1 1 1 1 It 1 1 It 1 1 11 1 1 11 1 1 111 1..1 Ln .r l O 1 YOON.-100 14'1 WINI 1- 1 1 .-1 00.-1 1.-1 1 w m o. 00 m in I ul.1 .0 1 1- 1 N I 1 1% C' ,-1 1 col gula'MwiC)1101 -10,1 In 1 01 . ..1 .1 ... 1 .1 .1 -1 . 1 1 11 e q i Imt h *1 m tnt-- 10.1 1 1 00 1 00 1 me I tn 1 /0 1 4' 0 tri m 1 1 00 1 5 1.-11 0 1 0,1 Itn 1 LA I m 1/,1 1 1 In I r-1>1 1 44 1 1 1 1 1, 1 1 It 1 1 11 1 1 11 1 1 11 1 11 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 NME Al ELI 81 ic u}P<WD MWHZ 1 11 1 1 11 ' E-13 4 4 loomlmI MOLOOMOINI ,-1 1 O I M I U]OE-lb 1 0 0 00 1 4â€¢ 1 ,004'Nt-ninIMI r-It LAI 00 1 W Al 0 -1-11.-tult-Irrl r--IOLflt-r,4'W Imt .1 1 Un 1 00 1 O 1 0) 1 . ..1 .1 . . . . ..0 .1 .1 -1 . 1 txÂ·.t.a B,Z O, 01 1 m o w 1 w 1 Mono,helly/ M tool N I o SH 0,00 1 1-1-m tool 1-0001'00,-114'1 40 I col m i E-10 A -010 .-,INI tr) WOOmt- 1 00 1 .1411 MI Z:COZ mi- 1 .1 . 1 -1 It -1 3 <DZ W llc 1 lf) 1 rn , in I 1 1 <D I O1-1 1-1 1 V. 1 1 1 1 11 1 e.-1 ul , t, 1 1 111 09 E W E-1 M D 1-1 Ew U ZA 86 Pt 0 8 M ELI Dll 0 O EU 8 0 w 4-4 >, .1-1 -m E-1 0 0 c O Â¢ 01 0 U to e 11 94 C 8.~ ZW MM E-1 u} 0 0 -IJ U R ~ â€¢r-1 6( M 0 04-4 4-1 W 1-11-1 0 W CO =1 W -IJ 4J ELI A U! 4-J r-1 M 4 A (1) to (0 Em M C) Cr-1 D u (1) â€¢rl E Â·rl C) 0' d) a) 6-1 {0 0 1-, OCW - 01 0 1-1 1-1 0 H W W P -4-j Â·r-4 a) .V. W 16 1-1 0 Q R Z .3 5 10 M U]Q W 4 g -el to 1 OUZ Mot/}CO,<CH MO< O 04 0 W W >4 > m m O 2b ITS'Z6$ 'SE'65$ (6â‚¬*'9FS) IaN3dXZ HEAO ARY 31, 1994 & 1993 SEMAZLIGNEEIXE UYLLOI for Services /General sain:;Tpuadxa ZE# SERNEAZE .aO (AONSIDIKE[G) SSZOXE aneous REVENUES O 4 MY W31SAS 2b-1 3/8/94 030 AON 100 d3S 9nv 1nr Nnr AVW bldÂ¥ EIVIAI 83=1 NVT 9391 KW.XLC TOWN OF ESTES PARK PURCHASE POWER - DEMAND 19000 - 18000 - 17000 - 1992 1993 16000 - 1994 - 0009L - 000*L - 0OOEL - 000ZL i ODOLL T - DE - EE - ZE - LE - OZ - 6/ 8L - LL -- 9L - SL - 17 L - El - EL - LL - 0, -6 -8 -L -9 -9 - t, -E -Z L 0 MN INB.LSAS FEB94L . 194 15,000 - 5,031 ' 2/8/94 1,6/ 1/Z -- 39Â¥EBAV -- ESTES PARK COINPCEIAD~NDTAtNYDL~~N-~3:WSDENT 1:InOH 6,491 17,000 - 16,000 - 14,000 - 13,000 - 000'Z L - 000' L L -- 000,0 1 - 000'6 000'8 rr 11'm 33 0 i ! lili.â€žlili.111 1.1 1 1 1 AON 130 .L.,1.'.v.~zu.2............1.'i.2.,rl AVW i El,20,11*-22 --11-21 Hdv WVIAI 111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111} 1 - --11-1-1 1 1 833 mmwi|||||||Ium|m||Imm||1|||||||||||||11|~111~11|m||||||||m|Im|i~ u & M - ---,* , Nvf 1 1 ... 1% 0 0 /11 1 1 0 0 0 to HMM V\131SAS 2b-2 3/8/94 E] 1992 1 1993 *66 L TOWN OF ESTES PARK PURCHASE POWER - ENERGY 9,500,000 - 9,000,000 - 8,500,000 - 8,000,000 - I_ - 000'009'9 - 000'000'9 9391KWH.XLC - 000'000'L 000'009'S LE]!_J- 330 AON 1 1.736 130 1-7 .2 G:' :% V ... d3S 1 9nV 1 1nr Nnr AVIAI 1 EldÂ¥ EIVIAI 833 1 NVr 1 HMM IAI31SAS 2b-3 - 000'009*Z 85,500,000 - 75,500,000 - 65,500,000 - 55,500,000 - 45,500,000 - 35,500,000 - - 000'009'S L 6 ~ 000'009'9 T -MI#m#Im#+RHHHmiull#illilw@11!Ilill!**111#11Illl#111#11,11Iilll 11#!1#11 ; 1111111111111=Wl'1111111%111111111@#1011111111111'W~111111111*1111!1- 11111111=.....1- i Â®11111!111111111111!111111111111111111111111111111111111111]11111111111111111111111111111111111111111111!ll'11'E 2 t!!Illl!!111*01!11!Illl11!IllII!!Ill!!IlllIlllItlll!1!Illolilll!11!IlllIlllII!!Illl]IlllIlll111111_ 1 Eli 11[Il-liui -d[I~BWIWin---.=Il-luu__=I -1_ s ~ Â®12111.=- - -- -1111 - Ill - - - _It -- -_ _1_ 1 111111=111[1111111111111111111111111111111111!1111111~- 1 Â®WImwill !11!lllilill Ill Il Ill Il o!111I Ill I lul!1111! lililli lilli I[Illillill immilwl_ IllimlimmlimillollmilllIlllIllimlillmlimmlimlii ~~ ~ ~ [111111!IlllIlllIlllIlll1IlllIlll1IlllIlllIlllIlllIlll1Illl1IllII!IlllIlllIlllIlllIlllIlllIllill11_ I 1 f.- - .- ~r ~...., --- ~.M 1~21~11!11~1**01!1!Illl!Il!!!!~WI!!11!I!111I!]!IllilllIll~Il!!Illt!IlllIll!!11Illl!![!I~IlllIll!1IlllI~IlllIlll!IllII 0 O i 0 0 lo ($) 931VS 2b-4 3/8/94 /11992 ~ 1993 *66 L / Oaa AON 100 das Onv Inf unr AelAI Jdv Jew qed uer ELECTRIC SALES BY MONTH 600,000 -- 550,000 500,000 - 000'00Â£ 000'00+ 000'OSE 9091 SAL.XLC i 1 1 Â·iii.:9 1 .11%44 N #42 0 31Â¥0 01 ElÂ¥3* ($) S31VS 2b-5 9091SALY.XLC 3/10/94 000 AON 100 deS Onv Inf unr AelAI Jdv .1 e IN qa=1 uer ELECTRIC SALES ACCUMULATED BY MONTH E 1992 YTD 2 1993 YTD El 1994 YTD 6,000,000 - 5,000,000 - 4,000,000 - - 000'000'E - 000'000'Z - 000'000' L DRAFT RESOURCE INTEGRATION STUDY SUMMARY February 14, 1994 Platte River Power Authority ("Platte River") has recently completed a Draft Resource Integration Study, developed to help facilitate public dialogue in the resource planning process. This study highlights current issues associated with developing an Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP") for Platte River. Platte River generates and transmits electricity for Estes Park, Fort Collins, Longmont and Loveland ("Cities") and the Cities distribute the electricity to their retail customers. A "resource" is a source of electricity (e. g. coal-fired power plant, hydropower or solar power) and "integrated resource planning" is a process for evaluating new energy resource alternatives, in order to meet customers' electrical energy service requirements in a reliable, cost-effective and environmentally responsible manner. Major points addressed in the study can be summarized as follows: 1. Since its inception in 1973, Platte River has used integrated planning to maintain low City rates with environmentally sensitive resources. These resources include Rawhide Unit 1, 20 miles north of Fort Collins (100% ownership), Craig Units 1 & 2 near Craig, Colorado (18% ownership) and purchase contracts which provide federal hydropower. The hydropower produces no air emissions, strict emission control equipment exists on all of the coal units, the coal burned is low in sulphur and none of Platte River's plants are located in the Front Range air basin. These existing resources are adequate to meet the Cities' requirements for more than 20 years. 2. The existing hydropower contracts are managed by the Western Area Power Administration (WAPA), which is part of the federal Department of Energy (DOE). Platte River currently faces three risks associated with the WAPA resource: (i) it may be r reduced significantly (by as much as 60%), (ii) the flexibility to use it for following changes in City loads may be substantially changed, and (iii) the cost may be dramatically increased. All of these changes could happen beginning, as early as the fall of 1995. If these changes occur, Platte River will need to acquire a replacement resource. The size and timing of the replacement resource will depend on the amount and timing of the hydropower loss. Platte River currently uses the WAPA hydropower to meet fluctuations in the Cities' load requirements. Therefore, this study focuses on replacement options which can efficiently follow fluctuating load (often referred to as "peaking" resources, since they provide power at or near the time of maximum or "peak' customer usage). 3. The rate impact of the potential changes in WAPA hydropower capacity, flexibility and cost is significant and dependent on resource decisions which are made. Assuming that the maximum amount of loss being considered occurs in late 1995, resource replacement options considered thus far would lead to rate increases of between 8% and 20% (over the current base case) by 1999. Programs which reduce the peak combined with a natural gas-fired peaking unit appears the most attractive peaking replacement option from a rates perspective at this time. 1 2d-1 4. Since 1978, the Cities and Platte River have developed over 100 joint and individual programs to encourage efficient generation, transmission, distribution and use of energy. These existing programs are estimated to account for about 16 MW of system peak load reduction (out of a total peak load of about 300 MW). Efforts which attempt to affect changes in the way customers use electricity are often referred to as Demand Side Management or "DSM" programs. Though Platte River supports DSM, the bulk of the DSM potential exists at the retail customer level. Platte River is responsible for generating and transmitting electricity and the Cities are responsible for distribution and for activities at the retail level; including DSM. Platte River plans to continue support of DSM programs, particularly those which can help control usage at the time of the system peak, through wholesale rate structure and continued joint efforts with the Cities. 5. As indicated in recent air quality studies, vehicles are the major source of pollution in the Front Range of Colorado. Power plants located in the Front Range air basin contribute less than 6% of the "brown cloud." Even though none of Platte River's power plants are located in the Front Range air basin, Platte River spends about 10% of its annual budget for pollution control. This expenditure leads to relatively low emissions from the coal plants. For example, the Rawhide plant operates with SOZ emissions about ten times lower than the maximum allowed by federal regulations. Characteristics of Platte River's existing resources allow production of electricity with virtually no impact on air quality along the Colorado Front Range. As replacement resource options are reviewed, impact on air quality in the region as well as in the Cities will be considered. 6. Other utilities in the region would also be affected by the changes in federal hydropower allocations. Depending on the magnitude of the total regional loss of hydropower and limits on flexibility of use, other types of resources may be considered as the planning process proceeds. For example, if the remaining hydropower is higher in cost and is limited in flexibility, other resource options may be more cost effective, leading to lower wholesale rates. Risks associated with existing hydropower purchases are due to proposed changes in flow patterns through generating facilities on the Colorado River. These proposed changes are a result of Endangered Species Act (ESA) studies and other environmental studies which attempt to evaluate stream flow impacts on plants and animals iii and along the river. Several interests, including rafters, fisherman, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and environmental groups have pressured congress to restrict these flows. Currently, the flows are varied through the day to meet changes in customers' use of electricity. The proposed changes would severely limit power production levels and flexibility, and would require production of power from other sources. Most likely, these sources would burn fossil-fuels (coal and natural gas). This would be the case whether Platte River replaces the potential '' loss of hydropower with new resources of its own or WAPA acquires resources to replace the loss. 2d-2 2 Hydropower has long been considered an environmentally favorable, renewable source of power. This form of power generation consumes only the potential energy of falling water and produces none of the air emissions common to facilities consuming fossil fuels. Major economic and environmental questions exist related to flow variations on the rivers. Use of the hydropower units reduces the need for fossil-fueled generation, but may negatively impact river plants and animals, sport fishing and rafting. A draft Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) has been published, but no order has been delivered regarding allocation changes. Impact estimates used in this Resource Study are based on the maximum impact scenario discussed in the EIS. If plans for addressing the maximum level of loss are developed and the power reductions are less than the maximum impact scenario, these plans may be scaled back to match the actual reduction. This draft Resource Integration Study was completed to help inform the public on issues related to resource planning and to gather public input on the planning process. As detailed in the study, public consultation on the process began in February, with a presentation of issues to Platte River's Board of Directors. This draft Resource Integration Study will be developed into a preliminary draft Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) between February and May, and a final draft IRP will be presented to the public at a Platte River Board meeting in August. Once approved by the Platte River Board, the 1994 IRP will be filed to satisfy requirements of the National Energy Policy Act of 1992, and will be made available to the Cities and their constituents, utilities in the region and other affected interests. Platte River intends to conduct public participation efforts in concert with technical work on the IRP. Based on public input and additional technical evaluation of resource options, the IRP will be updated over time. Several public participation activities are planned, including joint open house workshops at each of the Cities. A tentative schedule for these workshops is summarized below: City Date Related Activity Estes Park April 22 Earth Day Fort Collins April 23 Earth Day Longmont May 21 Family Fun Day Loveland April 24 Earth Day Thank you for your interest in this process. If you have any questions regarding this study or resource planning in general, please contact either you local City electric department or 4 Platte River. 2d-3 3