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HomeMy WebLinkAboutPACKET Estes Valley Planning Commission 2015-04-21Prepared: April 3, 2015 * Revised: STUDY SESSION AG ENDA ESTES VALLEY PLANNING COMMISSION Tuesday, April 21, 2015 12:30 p.m. Estes Park Town Hall, Room 202 12:30 Lunch Chair Hull 12:40 Review of Minutes (5 minutes) Chair Hull 12:45 EVDC Amendment – Pet Grooming & Retail Animal Sales Discussion (10 minutes) Planner Kleisler 12:55 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Modernization Economic & Transportation Profiles (20 minutes) Senior Planner Shirk Planner Kleisler 1:15 Adjourn to meeting Chair Hull Informal discussion among Commissioners concerning agenda items or other Town matters may occur before this meeting at approximately 12:15 p.m. The public is welcome to attend study sessions; however, public comment will not be accepted. Prepared: April 3, 2015 * Revised: AGENDA ESTES VALLEY PLANNING COMMISSION April 21, 2015 1:30 p.m. Board Room, Town Hall 1. OPEN MEETING Planning Commissioner Introductions 2. PUBLIC COMMENT The EVPC will accept public comments regarding items not on the agenda. Comments should not exceed three minutes. 3. CONSENT AGENDA A. Approval of minutes, March 17, 2015 Planning Commission Meeting 4. RIVERVIEW PINES DEVELOPMENT PLAN & PRELIMINARY TOWNHOMES SUBDIVISION PLAT Application officially withdrawn by applicant. 5. ESTES VALLEY DEVELOPMENT CODE AMENDMENT. Planner Kleisler The proposed amendments add provisions to allow small-scale pet grooming in the CD–Commercial Downtown zone district as an accessory use to pet-related retail establishments. 6. ESTES VALLEY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN MODERNIZATION. Senior Planner Shirk & Planner Kleisler A. Economic Section B. Transportation Section 7. REPORTS A. Planning Commission Reviews B. Town Board Reviews 1. Aspire Wellness Complex at the Stanley, Amended SR2014-01B - Approved March 24, 2015 2. Rusch Easement Vacation, Approved April 14, 2015 C. County Commission Reviews 1. AT&T Monopole, Special Review - Approved March 16, 2015 D. Board of Adjustment Reviews 1. Backbone Adventure Rentals Variance - Approved April 7, 2015 2. Earthwood Collections Variance - Approved April 7, 2015 E. Flood Recovery/Mitigation 1. Status of Grant Applications a. Awarded - CDBG-DR Round 2 Planning Grant Application: Fall River, Big Thompson and Black Canyon Hydrology (no Hydraulics) Study - $105,800 b. Awarded - CDBG-DR Round 2 Planning Grant Application: Downtown Estes Park Neighborhood Plan - $190,000 c. Not Awarded - CDBG-DR Round 2 Planning Grant Application: Estes Valley Channel Migration Hazard Mapping and Risk Mitigation Planning Project Grant 2. Downtown Floodplain Status Meeting scheduled for Tuesday, April 28th. a. 8:30 – 10:30 a.m., Town Board Room, Open to the public b. Joint meeting with Downtown Business Partners & Insurance Associates CONTINUED ON OTHER SIDE The Estes Valley Planning Commission reserves the right to consider other appropriate items not available at the time the agenda was prepared. F. Planning Commissioner Term Expirations 1. Commissioner Hull’s term expires June 30, 2015 2. Commissioner Sykes’ term expires June 30, 2015 8. ADJOURN The Estes Valley Planning Commission reserves the right to consider other appropriate items not available at the time the agenda was prepared. COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT Memo To: Estes Valley Planning Commission From: Philip Kleisler, Planner II Date: April 21, 2015 RE: Estes Valley Development Code Amendment: Small-scale Animal Grooming in the Commercial Downtown zone district Objective: Consideration of an amendment to the Estes Valley Development Code (EVDC) to permit small-scale Animal Grooming in the Commercial Downtown District (CD). Present Situation: Animal Grooming includes the bathing and trimming services for small domestic animals and short-term boarding (no more than 48 hours). Animal Grooming is only permitted in the CO Commercial Outlying zone district. Because this grooming use is specifically prohibited in the CD Commercial Downtown district it is not permitted as an accessory use. An owner of a downtown pet boutique store has approached Town staff with a request to amend the EVDC to permit Animal Grooming as an accessory use in the CD district. As outlined in the attached letter, this owner receives consistent requests for grooming services throughout the summer, primarily after muddy day hikes. The Planning Commission provided initial feedback about this proposal during the March 17, 2015 hearing regarding numerous land use matters that are outlined below. Town staff has taken the following actions throughout the past month:  Public Outreach o To ensure adequate public involvement, a press release was published on April 7, 2015 and individual mailings were sent to all property owners within the CD district. o Numerous pet-related businesses were contacted to explain the request and receive initial feedback. Page 2 of 5  Researched current laws about pet handling in public spaces o Estes Park Municipal Code Section 7.06.040 requires that pet owners remove “any dog or cat feces deposited by said dog or cat on public sidewalks, right-of-way, street, parks or recreation areas.” This section also specifies the same removal requirement for private properties. Lastly, this section requires that any place where a dog or animal are kept be clean and sanitary. o Estes Park Municipal Code Section 7.12.040 requires that dogs and cats be in control of their owner by either confinement (e.g. car, crate) or leash. o Estes Park Municipal Code Section 7.12.120 establishes that it is unlawful “for any person to keep or maintain any animal within the Town which habitually or continually disturbs the peace and quiet of any individual or neighborhood by barking, whining, howling or making any other noise.” o The purpose of the CD district is to establish a “wide variety of relatively high intensity of retail and commercial services within Downtown Estes Park to serve both residents and visitors…The district is intended to encourage a predominance of compact and pedestrian-scale retail, service and office uses in the Downtown core.” The full purpose statement is attached to this report. o The Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan establishes community-wide policies and specific neighborhood policies throughout the Valley. The code amendment is consistent with the following objectives of the Comprehensive Plan:  Community-wide policies 1.3: “Encourage existing and future community commercial uses to located within a compact, well defined downtown business district.” In order to provide any grooming service at this time downtown businesses must relocate to outlying commercial areas. o Staff met with the Colorado Department of Agriculture, who administers the Pet Animal Care and Facilities Act (PACFA). The PACFA Program is a licensing inspection program dedicated to protecting the health and well- being of those animals in pet care facilities. Staff at PACFA made several comments:  Consider if the Town prefers a full service wash or a self -serve wash. Page 3 of 5 Staff does not recommend specifying if the business must be a full service or self-serve wash. There are higher State permitting standards for full service washes.  What prevents a dog from going out the front door? Municipal Code Section 7.12.040 appears to address this concern.  Drains should catch hair. The Estes Park Sanitation District reviews building permits for any remodels to this type of business. During that review the District requires that the owner install screens to catch hair. No concerns were expressed by the District relating to this code amendment. Proposal: The proposed code amendment allows the Animal Grooming in the Commercial Downtown District with three restrictions: 1. Permitted as an accessory use only. 2. Service shall not exceed two (2) animals at any time. Staff Comment: This restriction was intended to address Board and Commissioner’s preference to limit the grooming component of the business to ensure a small capacity. The intent is to allow one animal being groomed, while another is waiting to be picked up. 3. Shall not include Animal Boarding. Staff Comment: Similar to number two above, this restriction is intended to strictly prohibit any animal boarding in the CD district. Staff expects the animals to be crated for a brief period while waiting to be picked up. Advantages:  Encourages a new type of downtown service not currently offered;  Dog-friendly amenities often strengthen the vibrancy of urban areas;  Such a service would bring some visitors downtown for several hours while their pet is being groomed. Page 4 of 5 Disadvantages:  Downtown animal grooming may lead to some degree of land use conflicts. The proposed regulations seek to limit such conflicts through operational restrictions.  The Animal Sales/Services zoning uses appear to have been established to limit land use conflicts relating to noise. At this point no Animal Sales/Services uses are permitted in the CD district. This code amendment may be in conflict with the original intent of the Animal Sales/Services Use. Action Recommended: Town staff is providing a number of options for the Planning Commission to consider: 1. Recommendation of approval of the attached (or revised) code amendment to the Town Board and Board of County Commissioners; 2. Recommendation of disapproval; or 3. Recommendation that this matter be considered with other possible code amendments during the upcoming downtown master plan process. The master planning process will begin this summer and be completed in the fall (October- November). Budget:  Legal notice, publication and codification fees are minimal ($300); and  Limited staff time. Level of Public Interest Low. A press release was published on April 7 and notecards were mailed to all property owners within the CD district. Staff has received the following comments: - A downtown business owner called to express concerns about potential noise impacts of this use in the downtown core; - A pet groomer called to speak against the code amendment. Specifically, the owner believes that this use is unfair to other groomers in town who needed to be located other commercial areas. This owner will likely provide written comments to the Commission, though such comments were not receive by April 16th; - Two owners of pet grooming/supply stores were contacted by staff. Each of these owners expressed support for the code amendment, citing an expanded tax base and the promotion of small business as the primary reasons . Page 5 of 5 Attachment: 1. Request from business owner 2. Proposed code amendment 3. EVDC Excerpts From: Pam DeWitt [mailto:dewittpam@gmail.com] Subject: Grooming To Whom It May Concern: I am a new business owner on Elkhorn Ave, called; Fur Babies a Pet Boutique. I would like to offer a one table pet grooming, for tourist and locals. I was asked almost daily for pet grooming during the summer months and at least once a week after the tourist rush. I want a high standard, quality, environmentally sound grooming with; cleanliness a priority, one table-never more than two dogs at one time and no cages. Here is a list of the benefits of offering grooming down town: · Demand-Tourist traveling and their pets are untrimmed/dirty. They come in with dogs that are filthy from traveling, hiking or in the rivers and lakes. They want to drop off get their dogs cleaned while they go shopping · Shopping-While pets are being groomed or cleaned; owners can shop down town. Many shops do not allow pets in their stores; this frees them up to shop or eat. · Locals come in wanting a place to just drop off their pets’ quick, easy/conveniently. There is a drop off parking space right out front for easy access. Demand is there, need for quality grooming is there. This is a plus for downtown, something quick/convenient, unique and adds variety to downtown, which shoppers are wanting. I have a great response from many business owners and shoppers I have spoken too. I am not competition for the other groomers; I am not full scale, nor could I handle anything large scale to be any kind of competition. Besides, competition is not a bad thing, it makes businesses work harder to be better and that is a win/win situation for patrons. Thanks, Pam DeWitt Fur Babies Attachment 1: Request from business owner Use Classification Specific use Nonresidential Zoning Districts Additional Regulations (Apply in All Districts Unless Otherwise Stated) “P” = Permitted by Right “S” = Permitted by Special Review “–” = Prohibited A A-1 CD CO O CH I-1 RESIDENTIAL USE CLASSIFICATIONS Animal Sales/Services (cont'd) Animal Grooming – – –P P – – – In CD, such use: • Permitted as an accessory use only; • Shall not exceed two (2) animals at any time; and • Shall not include Animal Boarding. Animal Hospital – – – P – – P Animal Retail Sales – – – P – – – Animal Shows/Sale s – – – P – P P §5.1.L Veterinary Office – – – P – – – Attachment 2: Proposed Code Amendment 4. Homeowner Association Required. All new townhome developments containing five (5) or more dwelling units shall be required to establish a mandatory Homeowner Association for the maintenance of common property (including private open areas) within the development. 5. Attainable Housing. All developments in the R-1 District shall be subject to the attainable housing limitations for rental and owner occupancy set forth in §11.4.C. (Ord. 13-99 §D, 11/3/99; Ord. 18-01 ##13—15, 10/23/01; Ord. 2-02 §1, 2/12/02; Ord. 11-02 §1, 8/13/02; Ord. 18-02 #3, 12/10/02; Ord. 6-06 §1, 9/26/06; Ord. 25-07 §1, 11/27/07) § 4.4 NONRESIDENTIAL ZONING DISTRICTS A. List of Districts/Specific Purposes. 1. Accommodations Zoning Districts. a. A Accommodations/Highway Corridor Zoning District. This district implements the “A-Accommodations” land use category set forth in the Comprehensive Plan. It applies primarily in highway-oriented commercial areas of the Estes Valley, and allows a wide variety of accommodation uses, including relatively higher-intensity accommodations such as multi-story hotels and motels. A variety of related tourist-serving retail and commercial uses, such as restaurants, bars and gift shops, will be permitted, but only as accessory uses to a principal accommodations use and only if such supporting uses are located inside the same structure as the principal use. Stand-alone commercial or retail uses will not be permitted in this accommodations district; instead, such uses may be developed in the other commercial zones. b. A-1 Accommodations/Low-Intensity Zoning District. This district implements the “A-1-Accommodations” land use category set forth in the Comprehensive Plan. This district provides for low-intensity and small-scale residential uses, low- intensity accommodations and very limited accessory uses located along highway and roadway corridors characterized by low-intensity residential and lodging uses, including resort lodges, cabins and condominium developments. Aside from these limited residential and accommodation uses, no new commercial development shall be permitted in this district. New uses, including new accommodations, shall be developed consistent in intensity, bulk and design with the low-scale, residential character of this district. 2. Commercial Zoning Districts. a. CD Downtown Commercial. This zone district is established to provide a wide variety and relatively high intensity of retail and commercial services within Downtown Estes Park to serve both residents and visitors. The CD District implements the “CBD-Commercial Downtown” land use category set forth in the Comprehensive Plan. This district is intended to encourage a predominance of compact and pedestrian-scale retail, service and office uses in the Downtown core. Residential uses, especially employee housing or when mixed with commercial or retail uses, are also encouraged within the district to provide alternative housing choices for the Valley’s workforce. It is the intent that the Downtown maintain its function as the Valley’s focal point of tourist shopping and entertainment activity. This area is also a key economic Attachment 3: EVDC Excerpts engine for the Town of Estes Park and the Valley; therefore, future sales-tax generating uses are strongly encouraged. It is also the intent of this district that new development develop in ways integrating and even enhancing the qualities of the streams, rivers, topography and other natural assets of the area. b. CO Outlying Commercial Zoning District. This zoning district is established to encourage the development of a wide variety of commercial and retail uses along the major corridor entryways into the Valley and the Town of Estes Park. This zoning district is established to implement the “Commercial” and “Commercial- Recreation” future land use categories recommended in the Comprehensive Plan. This district should accommodate the majority of the larger, freestanding commercial and retail buildings to meet future demand in the community. c. O Office Zoning District. This zoning district is established to implement the “Office” future land use category recommended in the Comprehensive Plan. The intensity of future office development will be controlled through district standards setting forth a maximum floor area ratio (FAR) and building height maximum. d. CH Heavy Commercial Zoning District. This zoning district is intended to provide for heavy commercial uses, including vehicle repair services, construction trades and bulk goods retailing. It shall be limited to areas within the Estes Valley that already contain some of these types of heavy commercial uses, and shall not include areas fronting the Valley’s highways or arterial streets. Permitted uses shall include utility facilities and installations, repair services, bulk storage and limited manufacturing. Most of these uses shall be permitted by right, but subject to specific size limitations. Larger facilities shall be subject to special review. 3. Industrial Zoning Districts. a. I-1 Restricted Industrial Zoning District. This zoning district implements the “Restricted Industrial” land use category recommended in the Comprehensive Plan. Permitted uses shall include a relatively wide variety of industrial uses, as reflected in the existing mix of industrial land uses, including several concrete/asphalt plants, propane distributors, construction trade yards and gravel mining and crushing facilities. However, to discourage future conflicts, residential uses shall not be permitted in this zoning district. An important element of development in this industrial zone district shall be compliance with performance standards to protect adjacent uses from adverse impacts of industrial development. B. Table 4-4: Permitted Uses: Nonresidential Zoning Districts. Table 4-4 Permitted Uses: Nonresidential Zoning Districts Use Classification Specific use Nonresidential Zoning Districts Additional Regulations (Apply in All Districts Unless Otherwise Stated) “P” = Permitted by Right “S” = Permitted by Special Review “–” = Prohibited A A-1 CD CO O CH I-1 RESIDENTIAL USE CLASSIFICATIONS Attachment 3: EVDC Excerpts resort lodge/cabin use may contain full kitchen facilities in lieu of “limited kitchen facilities,” but only if such guest rooms comply with all conditions set forth in §5.1.P of this Code. 3. Adult Businesses. a. General Definition: Any facility or establishment that conducts as a principal use of the premises, or as a significant or substantial adjunct to another use of the premises, the sale, rental, display or other offering of live entertainment, dancing or material that is distinguished or characterized by its emphasis on depicting, exhibiting, describing or relating to specified sexual activities or specified anatomical areas as an attraction to the premises. b. Examples: Examples include, but are not limited to, the following specific types of uses: (1) Adult Bookstore: Any establishment that sells or rents adult material, including but not limited to books, magazines, movies, films, slides or other photographic or written material and/or devices. (2) Adult Cabaret, Restaurant or other Business: A cabaret, restaurant or place of business that features topless or bottomless dancers, waitresses, waiters or entertainers. (3) Adult Motion Picture Theater: Any theater in which the presentation of adult material is the primary or principal attraction. 4. Animal Sales/Services. a. General Definition: Any commercial facility or establishment that conducts as a principal use of the premises the sale or boarding of animals, or the provision of care, treatment or services for animals. b. Examples: This classification includes the following types of specific uses: (1) Animal Boarding: Provision of shelter and care for small or large animals on a commercial basis. This use includes activities such as feeding, exercising, grooming and incidental medical care. (2) Animal Grooming: Provision of bathing and trimming services for small or domestic animals only on a commercial basis. This use includes boarding of domestic animals for a maximum period of forty-eight (48) hours. (3) Animal Hospital: Establishments where small or domestic animals receive medical and surgical diagnosis and treatment. This use includes only facilities that are entirely enclosed, soundproofed and air-conditioned. Grooming and temporary (no more than thirty [30] days) boarding of animals is included if incidental to the hospital use. (4) Animal Retail Sales: Retail sales and boarding of small or domestic animals only, provided that such activities take place within an entirely enclosed building. This use includes grooming if incidental to the retail use, and boarding of animals not offered for sale for a maximum period of forty-eight (48) hours. (5) Animal Shows/Sales: Exhibitions of small/domestic or large animals for a maximum of seven (7) days. This use includes animal sales. Attachment 3: EVDC Excerpts (6) Veterinary Office: Any facility maintained by or for the use of a licensed veterinarian in the diagnosis, treatment and prevention of animal diseases. Overnight care and boarding of small or domestic animals is permitted for up to thirty (30) consecutive days within the interior of such facility. 5. Artist Studio. Work space for artists and artisans, including individuals practicing one (1) of the fine arts or performing arts, or skilled in an applied art or craft. 6. Bank or Other Financial Institution. Establishments that provide retail banking services, mortgage lending and similar financial services to individuals and businesses. This classification includes those institutions engaged in the on-site circulation of cash money and check-cashing facilities, but shall not include bail bond brokers. This classification also includes Automated Teller Machines (ATM) located within a fully enclosed space or building, or along an exterior building wall intended to serve walk-up customers only. 7. Building Materials/Services. Retailing, wholesaling or rental of building supplies or equipment. This classification includes lumber yards, building tool and equipment sales or rental establishments, and building contractors’ yards, but excludes establishments exclusively devoted to retail sales of paint and hardware and activities classified under Vehicle/Equipment Sales and Service. 8. Business Services. Establishments primarily engaged in rendering services to business establishments on a fee or contract basis, such as advertising and mailing; employment services; management and consulting services; protective services; office equipment rental and leasing (e.g., photocopy machines); commercial research; photo finishing; photocopying and printer services; and personal supply services. 9. Catering Service. Preparation and delivery of food and beverages for off-site consumption without provision for on-site pickup or consumption. (See also Eating/Drinking Establishments.) 10. Civic, Social or Fraternal Membership Clubs, Lodges or Associations. Meeting, recreational or social facilities of a private or nonprofit organization primarily for use by members or guests. This classification includes union halls, social clubs, youth centers, and fraternal and veteran’s organizations. 11. Commercial Laundry. A business which launders and dry cleans clothing and other fabric articles in bulk. Dry cleaning agencies are distinguished from commercial laundries, the latter which perform dry cleaning of materials delivered to the premises by persons or services other than the owner of the materials. See also Personal Services. 12. Commercial Recreation or Entertainment Establishments, Indoor. a. General Definition: A building or part of a building devoted to providing amusement, entertainment or recreation for a fee, including movie theaters and theatrical space for dramatic, musical or live performances, indoor pinball/video arcades, bowling alleys, health clubs, aerobic exercise studios and including such activities as billiards and pool, other table games and similar-scale amusements. b. Examples: This use classification includes the following specific types of uses: (1) Limited Commercial Recreation or Entertainment Establishments, Indoor: Limited to the following indoor entertainment establishments only: Indoor movie theaters and theatrical space for dramatic, musical or live performances; indoor billiards, pool and other table games. Attachment 3: EVDC Excerpts COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT Memo To: Estes Valley Planning Commission From: Philip Kleisler, Planner II Date: April 21, 2015 RE: Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Modernization Objective: Receive Planning Commission comments on the following chapter: Appendix One, Economic Profile. Present Situation: The Planning Commission and Town Board directed staff to modernize the Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan. Six modernization options were considered and Option 2 was selected: Option 2: Review and update facts, remove obsolete references, remove information that is no longer relevant What has been accomplished since Option 2 was selected? As directed, staff continues to work on Option 2 to modernize the Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan, presenting drafts as completed for review and comment. As the project progresses, staff will present drafts Town Board of Trustees and Larimer County Board of County Commissioners more frequently. Chapter Status Letter of Introduction  Complete 1: The Planning Process June: Initial Draft Presented July: Final Draft Presented 2: Planning the Valley’s Future July: Initial Draft Presented August: Final Draft Presented 3: Economic Overview May/June: Draft Presented June/July: Final Draft Presented 4: Land Use  Complete Page 2 of 4 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Table 1: Residential Construction Total Units Value The Economic Profile presented with this report is the raw data used in the Economic Overview chapter, which is in a narrative form with relatively straightforward explanations of the data. As an example, Table A1.18 on Page 6 (Attachment 1) lists the residential units constructed by year, along with valuation. As a table alone this data is can be difficult to understand. However, when seen through a visual aid (Table 1 below) one can see that starting in 2009 the value of units were higher than the actual number of units. 5: Mobility and Circulation April/May 2015: Initial Discussion May/June 2015: Draft Presented June/July: Final Draft Presented 6: Community-wide Policies  Complete 7: Neighborhood Plans  Complete Action Plan  Complete Appendix 1: Economic Profile  March: Initial Discussion April: Draft Presented May: Final Draft Presented Appendix 2: Resource Information July/August: Final Draft Presented Page 3 of 4 The narrative Economic Overview chapter can also draw connections between different datasets. For example, the Housing table on Page 9 of Attachment 1 lists Census data that compares housing values between 2000 and 2011. Shown in Table 2 below, it is clear that larger homes increased greatly between 2000 and 2011, while at the same time the number of relatively less expensive homes decreased. In this case Table 1 in this report seems to validate the Census data shown in Table 2. Together, these tables illustrate a trend in our local residential development activity. Proposal: Town staff has updated and added additional data sets to Appendix One of the Comprehensive Plan. Staff requests guidance from the Planning Commission about the following questions: 1. How should the data be summarized? Staff recommends that most of the discussion center on how to use this data to tell the story of the Estes Valley. There is a lot of raw data included in this report that could be analyzed in an infinite number of ways. For example: a. Would it be useful to compare household wealth with age and race? b. Another interesting comparison may be the number of residential units built over time, compared with newly licensed vacation homes at the same time. This -200% 0% 200% 400% 600% 800% 1000% $50,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $149,999 $150,000 to $199,999 $200,000 to $299,999 $300,000 to $499,999 $500,000 to $999,999 Table 2: Change in Home Values (2000 - 2011) % Change (2000 - 2011) Page 4 of 4 could help us understand if there is a net gain or loss with long-term residential units. 2. Should any data sets be deleted? Staff removed a number of datasets (shown on the Attachment 1 as a red X. Does the Commission have any comments about this? 3. What is missing? While reviewing the attachments, was there anything that the Commission believes should be included but is not? For example, should some data sets be expanded to include similar metrics from other communities? Advantages: N/A Disadvantages: N/A Action Recommended: N/A Level of Public Interest Moderate. A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 1 E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e T a b l e s - E s t e s P a r k The following 26 tables are referenced in Chapter Three, Economic Overview. FIGURE A1.1 RESIDENT POPULATION BASE Estes Larimer State of Colorado Year Park Census Tract 28 County (000’s) 1950 1,617 43,554 1,325 1960 1,175 2,355 53,343 1,754 1970 1,616 3,554 89,900 2,225 1980 2,703 6,733 149,184 2,908 1990 3,184 9,139 186,136 3,303 1990* 3,672 9,139 1992* 3,870 1996* 5,077 2000 5,413 8,889 251,494 4,301 FIGURE A1.2 RESIDENT POPULATION BASE - GROWTH RATE Estes Larimer State of Year Park Census Tract 28 County Colorado 1960 (27.3)% 22.5% 32.4% 1970 37.5% 50.9% 68.5% 26.9% 1980 67.3% 89.4% 65.9% 30.7% 1990 17.8% 35.7% 24.8% 13.6% 1990* 15.3% 2000 70.0% -2.7% 35.1% 20.2% FIGURE A1.3 RESIDENT POPULATION BASE - ANNUAL GROWTH RATE Estes Larimer State of Year Park Census Tract 28 County Colorado 1960 (3.1)% 2.0% 2.8% 1970 3.2% 4.2% 5.4% 2.4% 1980 5.3% 6.6% 5.2% 2.7% 1990 1.7% 3.1% 2.2% 1.3% 2000 5.45% -0.3% 3.1% 2.7% * Town of Estes Park estimates. Source: Decennial Census, 1950-1990. A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 2 FIGURE A1.4 HOUSEHOLDS 1980 1990 2000 Town of Estes Park 1,230 1,444 2,541 Estes Valley 2,816 2,682 4,107 Larimer County 54,086 70,472 97,164 State of Colorado 1,062,879 1,285,119 1,658,238 Source: 1980, 1990, 2000 Census. FIGURE A1.5 SELECTED 2000 SOCIOECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS FOR ESTES PARK, ESTES VALLEY, LARIMER COUNTY AND THE STATE OF COLORADO Estes Estes Larimer State of Characteristics Park Valley County Colorado Population 5,413 8,889 251,494 4,301,261 Median age 45 46.1 33.2 34.3 Households 2,541 4,107 97,164 1,658,238 Median household income $43,262 $49,422 $48,655 $47,203 Persons per household 2.11 2.14 2.52 2.53 Housing units total 3,323 6,080 105,392 1,808,037 % owner occupied 60.1% 66.2% 67.7% 67.3% Vacancy rate - Rentals 8.9% 8.3% 4.1% 5.5% - Owner 1.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% Median housing value $239,900 $243,100 $172,000 $166,600 Median rent $572 $519 $678 $671 A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 3 FIGURE A1.6 EMPLOYMENT BASE - 2000 Estes Estes Larimer Park Valley County Persons 16 and over 4,492 7,606 198,990 - In labor force 2,877 4,690 143,110 - Participation rate 64.0% 61.7% 71.9% Civilian employees 2,877 4,690 142,915 - Unemployed 79 135 6,012 - Unemployment rate 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% Armed Forces 0 0 195 Average commuting time (minutes) 15.9 15.3 21.4 Source: 2000 Census. A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 4 FIGURE A1.7 DISTRIBUTION OF EMPLOYMENT - 2000 Estes Estes Larimer Park Valley County Employed Civilian employees 2,798 4,555 136,903 Agriculture, forestry, fishing, hunting, and mining 39 45 2,039 Construction 286 390 12,257 Manufacturing 126 261 20,330 Wholesale Trade 39 55 3,547 Retail Trade 382 736 17,555 Transportation, warehousing, and utilities 66 151 4,622 Information 45 124 3,818 Finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing 208 280 6,867 Professional, scientific, management, administration, waste management 240 320 14,201 Educational, health, and social services 346 628 28,556 Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food service 853 1,243 12,592 Other services 108 202 5,903 Public administration 60 120 4,616 Civilian Employees 2,798 4,555 136,903 Private wage and salary workers 2,161 3,386 102,848 Government workers 277 570 22,057 Local 197 365 9,007 State 29 52 10,057 Federal 51 153 2,993 Self-employed workers in own, not incorporated businesses 341 571 11,386 Unpaid family workers 19 28 612 Source: 2000 Census. A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 5 FIGURE A1.8 DISTRIBUTION OF EMPLOYMENT BASE Estes Estes Larimer Larimer Park Valley County County 2000 2000 2000 Ave. 2005 Wage Participation rate 64.0% 61.7% 71.9% Unemployment rate 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% Civilian employees 2,798 4,555 136,903 $36,611 Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting, and mining 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% $30,384 Construction 10.2% 8.6% 9.0% $39,015 Manufacturing 4.5% 5.7% 14.8% $61,935 Wholesale trade 1.4% 1.2% 2.6% $43,438 Retail trade 13.7% 16.2% 12.8% $22,994 Transportation, warehousing, and utilities 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% $30,753 Information 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% $43,693 Finance, insurance, real estate, rental, leasing 7.4% 6.1% 5.0% $38,319 Professional, scientific, management, admin, waste management 8.6% 7.0% 10.4% $60,435 Educational, health, social services 12.4% 13.8% 20.9% $35,815 Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, food service 30.5% 27.3% 9.2% $12,451 Other Services 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% $25,385 Public administration 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% $36,611 Private wage and salary workers 77.2% 74.3% 75.1% Government workers 9.9% 12.5% 16.1% $41,296 Local 7.1% 8.0% 6.6% $36,234 State 1.0% 1.1% 7.3% $42,531 Federal 1.8% 3.4% 2.2% $63,065 Self-employed workers in own not inc bus 12.2% 12.5% 8.3% Unpaid family workers 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% Source: 2000 Census, Colorado Employment and Wages (2005). A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 6 FIGURE A1.9 INCOME 99 Median Income 89 Median Income Annual Change Household Family Household` Family Household Family Town of Estes Park $43,262 $55,667 $29,387 $37,565 3.9% 4.0% inflation adjusted 25,968 33,414 25,377 32,340 0.2 0.3 Estes Valley 49,422 59,468 31,809 38,492 4.5 4.5 inflation adjusted 29,665 35,695 27,469 33,240 0.8 0.7 Larimer County 48,655 58,866 29,686 36,931 5.1% 4.8% inflation adjusted 29,205 35,334 25,636 31,892 1.3 1.0 State of Colorado 47,203 55,883 30,140 35,930 4.6 4.5 inflation adjusted 28,333 33,543 26,028 31,028 0.9 0.8 Denver/Boulder CPIU (82-84=100) 166.6 166.6 115.8 115.8 Source: 2000 Census for 1999 income, US Department of Labor (BLS) for CPIU, previous comp plan report. FIGURE A1.10 PER CAPITA INCOME 1999 1989 Annual Change Town of Estes Park $ 30,499 $17,010 6.1% Adjusted for Inflation 18,307 14,689 2.2 Estes Valley $ 32,067 17,349 6.3% Adjusted for Inflation 19,248 14,982 2.5 Larimer County 23,689 13,968 5.4 Adjusted for Inflation 14,219 12,062 1.7 State of Colorado 24,049 17,815 3.1 Adjusted for Inflation 14,435 15,384 -0.6 Denver-Boulder CPI-U 166.6 115.8 3.7 (82-84=100) Source: Census Data and Bureau of Economic Analysis estimates. A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 7 FIGURE A1.11 LARIMER COUNTY PERSONAL INCOME BY MAJOR SOURCE 1990 AND 2000 (000’S) 2000 1990 Change: 1990-2000 IncomeDistribution Income Distribution IncomePercent/yr Agricultural services $51,858 .7% $17,027 0.5% $34,831 11.8% Mining 18,998 0.3 11,606 0.4 7,392 5.1 Construction 449,782 5.9 140,876 4.4 308,906 12.3 Manufacturing 1,400,732 18.2 564,485 17.6 836,247 9.5 Transportation, commu- nication, public utilities 165,099 2.2 59,498 1.9 105,601 10.7 Wholesale trade 150,957 2.0 53,598 1.7 97,359 10.9 Retail trade 593,783 7.8 234,990 7.3 358,793 9.7 Finance, insurance, real estate 283,202 3.7 68,918 2.1 214,285 15.2 Services 1,341,504 17.4 424,947 13.2 916,557 12.2 Government 992,900 13.0 497,308 15.5 495,592 7.2 Nonfarm income by place of work $5,448,815 71.2% $2,073,253 64.6% $3,375,562 10.1% Other income and adjustments 2,208,250 28.8% 1,138,041 35.4% 1,070,209 6.9% Personal income by place of residence $7,657,065 100% $3,211,294 100% $4,45,771 9.1% Per capita income $30,727 $17,162 $13,565 6.0% Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Local Area Personal Income, Rocky Mountain Region A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 8 FIGURE A1.12 ESTES PARK RETAIL SALES Retail Sales % Real Retail % Year ($000,000) Change Sales* ($000,000) Change Base 16.9 52.8 1970 17.9 5.9 51.9 -1.8 1971 18.9 5.6 52.6 1.5 1972 24.4 29.1 65.9 25.3 1973 25.8 5.7 65.2 -1.2 1974 28.5 10.5 64.9 -0.4 1975 31.0 8.8 64.0 -1.3 1976 34.3 10.6 67.1 4.8 1977 39.1 14.0 70.6 5.1 1978 44.0 12.5 72.6 2.9 1979 46.2 5.0 66.0 -9.1 1980 49.7 7.6 63.4 -4.0 1981 54.3 9.3 62.3 -1.8 1982 58.5 7.7 61.5 -1.2 1983 61.7 5.5 61.4 -0.2 1984 68.6 11.2 65.8 7.1 1985 75.5 10.1 70.5 7.2 1986 78.7 4.2 72.9 3.5 1987 87.6 11.3 79.1 8.4 1988 98.3 12.2 86.5 9.4 1989 104.1 5.9 89.9 4.0 1990 106.0 1.8 87.6 -2.6 1991 109.3 3.1 87.0 -0.7 1992 122.1 11.7 93.7 7.7 1993 130.8 7.1 96.3 2.8 1994 147.1 12.5 103.7 7.7 2005 160.6 Source: Colorado Department of Revenue. *Retail sales adjusted for inflation using the Denver-Boulder consumer price index (CPI-U). A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 9 FIGURE A1.13 SALES TAX REVENUES TOWN OF ESTES PARK (000’S) Total Revenues June-September Receipts Summer as % of Total 1986 $2,443.5 $1,467.8 60.1% 1987 2,629.6 1,689.0 60.2 1988 2,811.3 1,777.4 58.9 1989 2,903.7 1,817.8 57.4 1990 3,102.1 1,940.5 59.5 1991 3,355.0 2,048.9 59.6 1992 3,702.0 2,219.4 58.3 1993 3,884.8 2,233.7 57.5 1994 4,332.0 2,486.4 57.4 1995 4,408.7 2,495.3 56.6 1996 4,571.6 2,645.5 57.9 1997 4,787.3 2,734.7 57.1 1998 5,383.4 2,969.1 55.2 1999 5,629.0 3,091.0 54.9 2003 154,280.6 86,734.4 56.2 2004 157,561.4 83,381.2 52.9 2005 160,572.0 88318.8 55.0 2006 166,087.5 93,972.6 56.6 2007 171,812.1 94,827.9 55.2 Source: Town of Estes Park (Note: June-September tax receipts reflect May-August sales). A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 10 FIGURE A1.14 PER CAPITA RETAIL SALES 2004 2005 2006 2007 04-07 Change Estes Park $27,608 $28,072 $28,690 $29,330 6.2% FIGURE A1.15 OCTOBER RETAIL SALES Sales Population Per Capita Sales 2003 $ 11,959,900 5,576 $2,145 2004 13,232,975 5,707 2,319 2005 13,824,350 5,720 2,417 2006 11,932,763 5,789 2,061 2007 13,709,955 5,858 2,340 A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 11 A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 12 FIGURE A1.16 SPENDING BY OLDER CONSUMERS 1990 CONSUMER SURVEY AVERAGE TOTAL EXPENDITURES Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 74 and up Income before taxes $19,744 $45,498 $56,500 $58,889 $48,108 $29,349 $20,563 Average household size 1.9 2.9 3.3 1.7 2.1 1.9 1.5 Total expenditures $22,543 $38,945 $45,149 $46,160 $39,340 $30,782 $21,908 Food, total 14.3% 13.5% 13.5% 13.6% 13.1% 13.6% 14.0 Food at home 7.3 7.6 7.7 7.9 7.8 9.0 9.6 Food away from home 7.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.3 4.6 4.4 Alcoholic beverages 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 Housing, total 31.5 33.5 33.5 30.7 31.4 31.4 35.4 Shelter 20.3 20.3 20.3 18.0 16.7 16.6 18.4 Utilities 5.5 6.0 6.0 6.2 7.0 7.9 8.8 Operations 1.0 2.2 2.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 3.8 Furnishings 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.8 3.6 2.9 Apparel and services 6.3 5.3 5.3 5.1 4.3 3.7 3.2 Transportation 23.0 21.5 21.5 19.1 19.9 18.8 13.1 Health 2.2 3.2 3.2 4.8 6.4 10.3 15.2 Entertainment 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 5.0 4.6 3.2 Contributions 0.8 1.7 1.7 3.3 3.3 6.6 7.4 Pensions and income 5.4 9.3 9.3 10.4 9.8 4.5 2.1 Other 9.8 6.1 6.1 7.2 5.8 5.8 5.5 Source: Monthly Labor Review, Consumer Expenditure Survey 2000. A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 13 FIGURE A1.17 HEALTH CARE WORKERS - 2000 Estes Park Larimer County Health Care Workers 177 12,201 Labor Force 2,877 143,110 % Labor Force in Health Care 6.2% 8.5% Population 5,413 251,494 Estes Park Estimate n/a n/a Residents Per Health Care Worker 30.6 20.6 Estes Park Estimate n/a n/a Population 65 and Over 1,118 24,037 Elderly Population per Health Care Worker 6.3 2.0 Source: 2000 Census. A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 14 FIGURE A1.18 RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION BUILDING PERMITS (# OF UNITS) TOWN OF ESTES PARK Year Single-Family Duplex Multi-Family Total 1972 30 51 81 1973 33 20 53 1974 12 10 22 1975 14 8 22 1976 35 18 53 1977 22 25 47 1978 19 16 35 1979 11 4 15 1980 14 39 53 1981 13 43 56 1982 12 6 18 1983 33 77 110 1984 53 8 61 1985 40 48 88 1986 17 6 23 1987 21 19 40 1988 19 23 42 1989 23 11 34 1990 29 15 44 1991 27 46 73 1992 39 18 57 1993 54 53 107 1994 83 34 117 1995 84 7 91 1996 30 22 19 71 1997 49 20 33 102 1998 46 38 42 126 1999 27 20 34 81 2000 46 22 43 111 2001 52 10 9 71 2002 38 42 13 93 2003 36 38 46 120 2004 45 26 12 83 2005 45 18 43 106 2006 32 20 42 94 2007* 18 8 14 40 Source: 1972-1981 from BBC study. 1983-2007 totals from Town of Estes Park Annual Building Permit Summary. Single-family from Stamey data, multi-family is total residential minus single-family permits.) * = Through 6/2007 A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 15 A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 16 FIGURE A1.19 COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION, TOWN OF ESTES PARK Year Number of Value Real Value Assessed Permits ($000’s) ($000’s) Value 1983 30 2,052.9 2,042.687 1984 15 1,127.4 1,080.92 1985 26 3,562.2 3,326.05 1986 5 1,050.5 973.5867 57,805.6 1987 17 1,165.9 1,052.256 91,647.8 1988 7 253.5 222.9551 85,958.7 1989 10 337.2 291.1917 101,240.9 1990 11 1,799.6 1,487.273 96,951.3 1991 20 1,739.5 1,384.952 90,433.5 1992 16 718.3 551.2663 83,461.1 1993 11 868.8 639.8 n/a 1994 19 1,364.4 962.2 n/a 1995 24 2,011.4 1996 62 2,244.5 6,366.7 1997 28 3,109.9 4,664.8 1998 76 4,328.5 6,492.8 1999 29 1,380.6 2,070.9 2000 19 1,139.3 1,708.9 2001 29 3,344.9 5,017.4 2002 81 8,961.1 13,441.6 2003 32 3,465.8 5,198.2 2004 15 2,473.8 3,710.7 2005 61 10,892.8 16,339.2 2006 8 2,801.4 4,202.0 2007* 8 1,997.3 2,995.9 Source: Town of Estes Park * = Data through 6/2007 A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 17 FIGURE A1.20 ELECTRIC UTILITY SERVICE ESTES PARK AREA - NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS Year Residential Commercial Total Gov’t 1972 3731 777 3731 1973 3917 793 3917 1974 4063 817 4063 1975 4014 797 4014 1976 4082 807 4082 1977 4189 822 4189 1978 4342 846 4342 1979 4498 892 4498 1980 4661 922 4661 1981 4788 938 4788 1982 5804 1983 5018 965 5018 1984 5196 976 5196 1985 5340 1012 5340 1986 5380 1033 5380 1987 5386 1043 5386 38 1988 5379 1169 5379 40 1989 5417 1191 5417 45 1990 5541 1250 5541 50 1991 5649 1284 5649 50 1992 5863 1269 7132 49 1993 6120 1160 7329 49 1994 6360 1199 7559 52 1995 6544 1254 7798 48 1996 1997 6737 1295 8032 84 1998 6935 1347 8282 86 1999 7094 1405 8499 89 2000 7205 1470 8675 94 2001 7392 1488 8880 144 2002 7534 1517 9051 188 2003 7693 1565 9258 205 20041 7810 1590 9400 204 2005 7914 1638 9552 202 2006 8079 1700 9779 204 20072 8145 1727 9872 211 Source: Town of Estes Park Light and Power Department, 1 = Data through October, 2 = Data through May A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 18 FIGURE A1.21 WATER METERS - ESTES PARK AREA Residential Commercial Year Urban Rural Urban Rural Total Change 1983 1228 525 410 98 2259 1984 1257 533 424 94 2308 2.2% 1985 1269 572 433 70 2344 1.6 1986 1307 572 456 69 2404 2.6 1987 1314 587 477 71 2449 1.9 1988 1347 590 484 69 2490 1.7 1989 1370 1040 492 74 2976 19.5 1990 1398 1060 500 79 3037 2.0 1991 1428 1083 514 92 3117 2.6 1992 1512 1050 526 97 3185 2.2 1993 1635 1124 544 85 3389 6.4 1994 1759 1136 531 86 3512 3.6 1995 1823 1162 542 85 3612 2.8 2000 2136 1243 613 96 4088 2001 2247 1234 612 97 4190 2.5% 2002 2336 1232 626 94 4288 2.3% 2003 2434 1253 643 93 4423 3.1% 2004 2532 1262 649 95 4538 2.6% 2005 2564 1264 683 95 4606 1.5% 2006 2663 1301 741 100 4805 4.3% 20071 2682 1301 777 90 4850 0.9% Source: Town of Estes Park Light and Power Department, 1 = Data through May A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 19 FIGURE A1.22 BANK DEPOSITS - MILLIONS OF $ Year-end Total Number Percent Deposits of Banks Change 1977 23.7 2 1978 25.1 2 5.9 1979 30.1 2 19.9 1980 30.2 2 0.3 1981 33.5 2 10.9 1982 37.7 2 12.5 1983 54.8 3 45.4 (break) 1984 60.0 3 9.5 1985 65.4 3 9.0 1986 71.9 4 9.9 1987 70.0 4 5.7 1988 82.1 4 8.0 1989 84.7 4 3.2 1990 88.0 4 3.9 1991 95.4 4 8.4 1992 103.6 4 8.6 1993 111.0 4 7.1 1994 112.5 4 2.3 1999 138.0 2000 144.0 2001 N/A 2002 178.3 2003 N/A 2004 210.4 4 Banks, 2 Credit Unions Note: 1977-82, Estes Park Bank and First National Bank of EP 1983-85, adds Home Federal Savings (now Key Bank) 1986-92, adds Park National Bank (new bank) A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 20 FIGURE A1.23 ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK VISITATION Total Annual Visitors June - September Year (millions) as % of Total 1982 2,578,902 1983 2,704,066 78.3 1984 2,220,219 78.3 1985 2,354,480 76.4 1986 2,523,122 75.6 1987 2,665,029 74.2 1988 2,686,986 76.3 1989 2,636,662 75.8 1990 2,801,259 75.8 1991 2,903,811 75.0 1992 2,942,743 73.7 1993 2,950,867 75.8 1994 3,153,450 75.7 1995 3,008,446 74.7 1996 3,119,455 73.7 1997 3,137,186 73.1 1998 3,213,744 72.2 1999 3,366,251 71.9 2000 3,380,039 70.6 2001 3,318,303 73.3 2002 3,138,066 71.3 2003 3,192,227 72.2 2004 2,943,073 71.4 2005 2,939,099 72.8 2006 2,927,921 72.5 2007* 2,268,838 N/A Source: Rocky Mountain National Park. * = Data through August 2007 A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 21 An examination of the listings in the Estes Park Yellow Pages for 1972, 1982 and 1992 provides an additional measure of the growth of the tourist industry: FIGURE A1.24 YELLOW PAGES LISTINGS 1972 1982 1992 2007 Resorts and Motels 127 108 124 124 Campgrounds 12 10 8 9 Restaurants 58 52 73 67 Source: 1972 - Mountain States Telephone and Telegraph Directory 1982 - Bell Systems Directory 1992 - U.S. West Directory. MSN Yellow Pages and Estes Park Visitor Guide A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 22 FIGURE A1.25 CONFERENCES Year # of Conferences # of Delegates Estimate of Annual Expenditures/Delegate 1991 (Aug-Dec) 15 8,600 N/A 1992 30 12,403 N/A 1993 79 14,747 N/A 1994 96 14,965 N/A 1995 88 14,635 N/A 1998 74 13,101 $373.78 1999 84 13,266 $410.24 2000 55 10,815 $450.00 2001 75 10,098 $467.91 2002 79 10,044 $465.00 2003 69 7,998 $470.24 2004 78 8,297 $490.00 2005 84 10,043 $402.42 2006 77 9,028 $447.68 Source: Estes Park Conference Center. A p p e n d i x O n e • E c o n o m i c P r o f i l e E S T E S V A L L E Y C O M P R E H E N S I V E P L A N  A1 - 23 FIGURE AI.26 TOWN OF ESTES PARK T REND PROJECTIONS 1990 1991 1992 1993 1995 2000 2010* Population % Change 3,672* 3.1% 3,758* 2.3% 3,870* 3.0% 3,998 3.3% 4,258* 3.0% 5,413 4.92% 8,013 4.00% Employment % Change % Employed 1,753 3.3% 47.7% 1,795 2.4% 47.8% 1,838 2.4% 47.5% 1,882 2.4% 47.1% 1,974 2.4% 46.4% 2,877 7.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A Personal Income (1990$) % Change $63.5M $68.2M 7.4% $71.3M 4.5% $74.5M 4.5% $79.3M 4.54% $75.2M -1.06% N/A N/A Retail Sales (1990$) % Change $106M (2.6%) $105.3M (0.7%) $113.4M 7.7% $112.2M (1.0%) $112.3M 1.2% $90.2M -4.29% N/A N/A Residential Construction 44 73 57 107 68 97 80 Park Visitation % Change 2.80M 6.7% 2.90M 3.7% 2.94M 1.3% 3.01M 3.5% 3.23M 2.9% 3.38M 0.91% 3M -1.19% * Town of Estes Park Estimates Note: Census income and employment data for 1990 are adjusted to conform with Town of Estes Park population estimates. During the 1990-2000 period, building permits were issued for 980 housing units. From 2001 through June 2007 YTD, building permits were issued for 607 dwelling units, for an average of 93 units per year. Due to current construction trends, the construction levels are anticipated to decrease over the next two years, to 80 per year. Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators Figure A1.1 Resident Population Base Year Estes Park Larimer County State of Colorado (000's) 1950 1,617 43,554 1,325 1960 1,175 53,343 1,754 1970 1,616 89,900 2,225 1980 2,703 149,184 2,908 1990 3,184 186,136 3,303 1990* 3,672 1992* 3,870 1996* 5,077 2000 5,413 251,494 4,301 2010 6,021 299,630 5,029 * Town of Estes Park estimates. Source: Decennial Census, 1950-2010. Figure A1.2 Resident Population Base - Growth Rate Year Estes Park Larimer Count State of Colorado (000's) 1960 -27.3% 22.5% 32.4% 1970 37.5% 68.5% 26.9% 1980 67.3% 65.9% 30.7% 1990 17.8% 24.8% 13.6% 2000 70.0% 35.1% 20.2% 2010 11.2% 19.1% 16.9% TOTAL 176.5% 236.0% 140.7% Page 1 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators A1.4 Households 1980 2000 2010 Town of Estes Park 1,230 2,541 2,796 Estes Valley 2,816 4,107 4,243 Larimer County 54,086 97,164 120,295 State of Colorado 1,062,879 1,658,238 1,972,868 Source: 1980, 1990, 2000, 2010 Census. Estes Valley data consists of CO tract 28.01 and 28.02. A1.5 Selected Socioeconomic Characteristics Characteristics Estes Park Estes Valley Larimer County State of Colorado Population 5,858 9,050 299,630 5,029,196 Median Age 51.5 53.0 35.5 36.1 Housing Units 2,796 6,930 132,722 2,212,898 *Median Household Income $57,789 $53,441 $57,927 $58,244 *Average Household Size 1.96 1.97 2.42 2.51 % Owned 63.1% 68.7% 65.5% 65.5% Vacancy Rate - Rentals 12.7% 9.6% 18.1% 24.0% - Owner 8.2% 5.5% 12.7% 13.6% *Median Housing Value $347,600 $338,750 $245,200 $236,800 Median Rent $782 $780 $841 $802 *2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Source: 2010 Census Page 2 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators A1.6 Employment Base - 2010 Estes Park Estes Valley Larimer County Persons 16 and Over 5,105 5,392 244,450 - In Labor Force 2,820 4,307 170,089 - Participation Rate 55.2% 79.9% 69.6% Civilian Employees 2,820 4,307 169,734 - Unemployment Rate 3.4% 2.8% 5.5% Armed Forces 0 0 355 2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates A1.7 Industry Distribution Colorado Larimer County Estes Valley Estes Park Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Civilian employed population 16 years and over 2,498,972 156,358 4091 2,647 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining 59,711 2.4% 3,521 2.3% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Construction 198104 7.9% 11,116 7.1% 349 15.8% 259 9.8% Manufacturing 179,691 7.2% 16,127 10.3% 166 6.9% 107 4.0% Wholesale trade 68,585 2.7% 3,765 2.4% 35 1.3% 19 0.7% Retail trade 282,066 11.3% 18,107 11.6% 602 29.6% 383 14.5% Transportation and warehousing, and utilities 116,816 4.7% 5,081 3.2% 116 5.2% 97 3.7% Information 76,765 3.1% 3,222 2.1% 69 4.0% 45 1.7% Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing 179,114 7.2% 8,129 5.2% 202 9.4% 123 4.6% Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services 328,884 13.2% 18,596 11.9% 454 26.1% 276 10.4% Educational services, and health care and social assistance 499,187 20.0% 39,210 25.1% 832 40.0% 580 21.9% Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accommodation and food services 259,372 10.4% 15,384 9.8% 895 43.1% 518 19.6% Other services, except public administration 126,918 5.1% 7,991 5.1% 261 12.3% 163 6.2% Public administration 123,759 5.0% 6,109 3.9% 110 6.3% 77 2.9% Page 3 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators Source: 2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates A1.12 Estes Park Retail Sales Year Retail Sales %Change Real Retail Sales* % Change 1995 $4,408,658 $4,508,085 1996 $4,571,626 3.7% $4,665,868 3.5% 1997 $4,787,251 4.7% $4,819,841 3.3% 1998 $5,383,382 12.5% $4,935,518 2.4% 1999 $5,629,044 4.6% $5,078,648 2.9% 2000 $5,921,155 5.2% $5,281,794 4.0% 2001 $6,160,350 4.0% $5,530,038 4.7% 2002 $6,038,513 -2.0% $5,635,109 1.9% 2003 $6,171,213 2.2% $5,697,095 1.1% 2004 $6,302,454 2.1% $5,702,792 0.1% 2005 $6,422,882 1.9% $5,821,980 2.1% 2006 $6,767,118 5.4% $6,031,572 3.6% 2007 $7,233,708 6.9% $6,164,266 2.2% 2008 $7,183,790 -0.7% $6,404,488 3.9% 2009 $6,852,574 -4.6% $6,363,115 -0.6% 2010 $7,007,092 2.3% $6,482,105 1.9% 2011 $7,422,536 5.9% $6,721,294 3.7% 2012 $7,889,229 6.3% $6,851,889 1.9% 2013 $7,564,898 -4.1% $7,041,755 2.8% 2014 $8,730,271 15.4% $7,235,403 2.8% Cumulative Increase 71.6% 48.1% Source: Town of Estes Park *Retail sales adjusted for inflation using the Denver-Boulder consumer price index (CPI-U). Page 4 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators A1.13 Sales Tax Revenues Town of Estes Park Year Total Revenue June-September Receipts Summer as a % Total 1995 $4,408,658 $2,167,864 49.2% 1996 $4,571,626 $2,418,961 52.9% 1997 $4,787,251 $2,542,730 53.1% 1998 $5,383,382 $2,668,094 49.6% 1999 $5,629,044 $2,765,773 49.1% 2000 $5,921,155 $2,890,150 48.8% 2001 $6,160,350 $2,931,464 47.6% 2002 $6,038,513 $3,071,434 50.9% 2003 $6,171,213 $3,170,281 51.4% 2004 $6,302,454 $3,100,951 49.2% 2005 $6,422,882 $3,177,380 49.5% 2006 $6,767,118 $3,281,683 48.5% 2007 $7,233,708 $3,596,396 49.7% 2008 $7,183,790 $3,727,202 51.9% 2009 $6,852,574 $3,489,773 50.9% 2010 $7,007,092 $3,724,136 53.1% 2011 $7,422,536 $3,901,616 52.6% 2012 $7,889,229 $4,006,658 50.8% 2013 $7,564,898 $4,070,004 53.8% 2014 $8,730,271 $4,349,609 49.8% Source: Town of Estes Park June - September tax receipts reflect May-August sales Page 5 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators A1.15 Shoulder Season Retail Sales Year April - May Oct-Nov Population 2000 $562,538 $1,284,653 5,413 2010 $604,250 $1,351,011 6,021 Source: Town of Estes Park April-May tax receipts reflect March-April sales Oct-Nov tax receipts reflect Sept-Oct sales A1.18 Residential Construction Building Units (Town of Estes Park) Year Single-Family Duplex Multi-Family Total Units Valuation 2006 32 9 8 49 $25,288,714 2007 37 14 18 69 $23,360,938 2008 17 10 51 78 $18,960,015 2009 17 4 0 21 $10,117,394 2010 11 0 0 11 $6,908,075 2011 16 1 1 18 $10,075,682 2012 26 1 1 28 $10,561,999 2013 21 4 1 26 $10,007,727 2014 17 2 0 19 $8,416,712 Source: Town of Estes Park Note: Valuation includes new units, additions/alterations and footing/foundations. Page 6 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators A1.19 Commercial Construction, Town of Estes Park Year Number of Permits Value 2006 127 $16,855,447 2007 140 $6,644,642 2008 148 $15,989,888 2009 103 $3,669,372 2010 122 $4,262,403 2011 104 $1,641,373 2012 159 $3,406,486 2013 170 $3,420,177 2014 223 $6,605,327 Note: staff are planning to provide the same data for construction of accommodation units. Page 7 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators A1.23 Rocky Mountain National Park Visitation, with Other Indicators Year Rocky Mountain National Park Visitation Traffic Counts (34/36 Intersection) Hotel Occupancy Average Hotel Rate 1995 2,878,169 1996 2,923,755 1997 2,965,354 1998 3,035,422 1999 3,186,323 48.3% 2000 3,185,392 3,900,242 49.3% $106.98 2001 3,139,685 3,658,061 47.1% $122.89 2002 2,988,475 3,969,526 44.5% $122.64 2003 3,067,256 4,075,192 46.2% $125.72 2004 2,781,899 3,990,102 44.2% $127.31 2005 2,798,368 3,868,090 44.4% $128.62 2006 2,743,676 3,809,891 51.8% $137.14 2007 2,895,383 3,942,229 53.0% $144.52 2008 2,757,390 3,889,863 53.2% $146.76 2009 2,822,325 3,928,209 49.2% $152.70 2010 2,955,821 4,050,861 48.1% $154.15 2011 3,176,941 4,023,024 50.9% $151.28 2012 3,229,617 3,552,417 52.5% $151.24 2013 2,991,141 Not available due to flood 47.8% $155.95 2014 3,434,751 Not available due to flood 50.7% $159.36 Page 8 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators NEW: Five Year Building Permit, Valuation and Fee Summary 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Number Issued 466 593 372 419 499 485 494 % change from previous year 6% -37% 13% 19% -3% 2% Valuation $42,203,661 $35,473,383 $15,255,616 $11,233,978 $11,904,278 $14,162,316 $13,491,465 % change from previous year 14% -57% -26% 6% 19% -5% Fees Collected $330,779 $287,648 $149,877 $155,535 $164,699 $180,746 $182,980 % change from previous year -17% -48% 4% 6% 10% 1% Fees Waived $166,309 $42,972 $26,909 $8,599 $23,776 $15,516 $10,072 Source: Town of Estes Park NEW: Median Age 2000 2010 Estes Park 45.0 51.5 Colorado 34.3 36.1 United States 35.3 37.2 U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census. U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census. Page 9 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators NEW: Age by Category Estes Park 2000 2010 % Change 19 Years and under 1033 1082 5% 20-34 814 770 -5% 35-59 2104 1956 -7% 60-84 1351 1836 36% 85 and over 111 214 93% U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census. U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census. Note: Staff are planning to research this metric back to 1980. NEW: Labor Force Participation of Working Age People 2000 2011 Estes Park 64.0% 73.3% Colorado 70.1% 69.7% United States 63.9% 64.8% U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census. 2010: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Page 10 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators NEW: Educational Attainment 2000 (%) 2011 (%) Estes Park High School Grad or Higher 94.0 96.0 Bachelor's Degree or Higher 43.3 47.9 Colorado High School Grad or Higher 86.9 89.7 Bachelor's Degree or Higher 32.7 36.3 United States High School Grad or Higher 80.4 85.4 Bachelor's Degree or Higher 24.4 28.2 U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census. 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates NEW: Family Households 2000 2010 Estes Park 61.6% 60.9% Larimer County 65.0% 62.3% Source: 2000 and 2010 Census Page 11 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators NEW: Sex and Age (2011) Total Percentage of Total 2011 total population 5,862 Male 2,853 49% Female 3,010 51% Median Age (years) 51.1 2010 total population 5,858 Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates NEW: Race Race Count Percentage of Total One race 5,774 98.6% White 5,409 92.3% Black or African American 42 0.7% American Indian and Alaska Native 64 1.1% Asian 85 1.5% Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander 7 0.1% Some other race 343 5.9% Hispanic or Latino population 822 14.0% 2010 total population 5,858 Note: The six numbers may add to more than the total population, and the six percentages may add to more than 100 percent because individuals may report more than one race. Source: 2010 Census Page 12 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators NEW: Estes Park Households (2010) 2010 total households 2,796 Average household size 2.08 2010 total families 1,704 Average family size 2.64 Source: 2010 Census NEW: Educational Attainment Education Level Number Percentage of Target Population High school graduate (including equivalency) 735 16.1% Associate degree 423 9.3% Bachelor's degree 1,271 27.9% Graduate or professional degree 912 20.0% Percent bachelor's degree or higher 47.90% 2011 population 25 years and over 4,561 Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates NEW: Employment Status Number Percentage of Target Population In labor force 2,766 55.6% Civilian labor force 2,766 55.6% Employed 2,579 51.9% Unemployed 187 3.8% Armed Forces 0 0.0% Not in labor force 2,206 44.4% 2011 population 16 years and over 4,972 Source: 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Page 13 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators NEW: Estes Park Housing Occupancy Number Owner-occupied units 1,765 Renter-occupied units 1,031 2010 total occupied units 2,796 Population in owner-occupied units 3,607 Population in renter-occupied units 2,214 2010 total population 5,858 Average household size of owner-occupied unit 2.04 Average household size of renter-occupied units 2.15 Source: 2010 Census NEW: Housing Value of Owner-Occupied Units (Estes Park) 2000 2011 % Change Less than $50,000 -- 2.2% null $50,000 to $99,999 3.1% 0.0% -100.0% $100,000 to $149,999 10.0% 2.9% -71.0% $150,000 to $199,999 25.2% 7.7% -69.4% $200,000 to $299,999 40.1% 26.1% -34.9% $300,000 to $499,999 19.2% 38.4% 100.0% $500,000 to $999,999 2.2% 21.4% 872.7% $1,000,000 or more -- 1.3% null U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census U.S. Census Bureau, 2007-2011 American Community Survey Page 14 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators Occupied Housing Units (not vacant) 2000 (%) 2010 (%) % Change Estes Park 76.5 68.1 -11.0% Colorado 91.7 89.2 -2.7% United States 91.0 88.6 -2.6% U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census. U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census. NEW: Second Homes Number of Homes % of Local Housing Grand Lake 588 64.1% Breckenridge 4,387 63.5% Vail 3,844 53.2% Steamboat Springs 3,779 37.9% Granby 506 33.1% Aspen 1,917 32.3% Estes Park 963 23.4% Manitou Springs 85 3.0% Note: Second homes are vacant housing units for seasonal, recreational or occasional use. U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census Page 15 of 16 Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Draft Economic Indicators NEW: Percent Population Change Municipality 1980 2011 % Change Berthoud 2362 5140 54.0% Estes Park 2703 5955 54.6% Fort Collins 65092 146573 55.6% Johnstown 0 730 100.0% Larimer Unincorp. Area 47412 66795 29.0% Loveland 30215 68106 55.6% Timnath 185 802 76.9% Wellington 1215 6439 81.1% Windsor 0 4769 100.0% Source: Colorado Department of Local Affairs – Demography Section Page 16 of 16 COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT Memo To: Estes Valley Planning Commission From: David Shirk, Senior Planner Date: April 21, 2015 RE: Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan Modernization: Transportation Objective: Receive Planning Commission comments and guidance on the following chapter: Transportation. Present Situation: The Planning Commission and Town Board directed staff to modernize the Estes Valley Comprehensive Plan. Six modernization options were considered and Option 2 was selected: Option 2: Review and update facts, remove obsolete references, remove information that is no longer relevant The transportation chapter of the comprehensive plan was written nearly twenty years ago, and the information and policies outlined are quite out of date. Examples include: • Traffic data from the early 1990s. • Transportation improvements that have been completed. These include the Lake Estes Trail, Highway 7 sidewalk, and several intersection improvements. Because of the volume of out-of-date information and policies, the transportation chapter requires much more revision than other chapters. Since the 1996 adoption of the comprehensive plan, several additional studies have been done. These include the 2003 Estes Valley Transportation Alternatives study, 2006 parking study, and the 2013 Estes Valley Transit and Parking Study. Proposal: Town staff has revised the overall structure of the transportation chapter, beginning with renaming the chapter from “Mobility and Circulation” to “Transportation”. The chapter has been divided into four main sections: Overview; Facts; Strategies and Policies; and Transportation Action Plan. The Facts and Strategies and Policies sections are attached for initial review and guidance. The Overview and Transportation Action Plan will be presented at a later date. Maps have been updated, and several photos have been included to provide a ‘picture story’ of the transportation issues facing Estes Park. Sections generally follow a similar format: text located in the left third of the page, graphics in the right two-thirds of the page. Staff requests guidance from the Planning Commission about the following questions: 1. What traffic data should be included in the comprehensive plan? The 2003 Transportation Alternatives Study, 2006 parking study, and 2013 Estes Valley Transit and Parking Study include more recent data. The ‘on line’ version of the comprehensive plan will include hyperlinks to these studies. These more recent studies include a great amount of technical data regarding the transportation system. This will allow the comprehensive plan to remain more general and provide a “30,000 foot” view. There is a lot of traffic data included in these reports that could be included in the comprehensive plan. Questions for discussion include: a. Should data regarding traffic volume be included? If so, are graphs or charts preferred. b. Should data regarding weekend-weekday variation be included? c. Should seasonal traffic data be included? d. Should hourly traffic data be included? e. Should traffic growth rates be included? 2. Are there any revisions to the overall format? Does the format of limiting text and including graphics convey information in a functional manner that will help the Planning Commission in future land use decisions? 3. What is missing? While reviewing the attachments, was there anything that the Commission believes should be included but is not? Advantages: N/A Disadvantages: N/A Action Recommended: N/A Level of Public Interest: Moderate. Page 2 of 2 Facts Overview The Facts section describes the trails network, transit network road network and parking. The Facts section also describes traffic data such as the road network Level of Service, traffic volumes, weekday-weekend traffic variation, traffic growth rates, and 2040 traffic projections. The Facts section lays the foundation for the Strategies and Policies and Action Plan outlined later in this chapter. The Estes Park road circulation network is shown here in general to orient the reader. Trails Network The Lumpy Ridge Trail is popular with both residents and guests The Estes Valley has a robust and growing trail network. Trails include hiking trails that connect to Rocky Mountain National Park and National Forest Service lands, paved multi-use trails, and the downtown Riverwalk. Several agencies are responsible for the trails network, including the Town of Estes Park, the Estes Valley Recreation and Parks District, and Rocky Mountain National Park. Estes Valley Trails Committee The Estes Valley Trails Committee is administered by the Recreation District. The Trails Committee includes representatives from the Town of Estes, Rocky Mountain National Park, the Estes Valley Land Trust, interested citizens representing the hiking, biking and horse riding communities. The Trails Committee helps ensure the various agencies coordinate their trail building efforts. In 2014, residents approved a sales tax initiative to help fund the construction and expansion of public trails within the Estes Valley Planning Area. To the maximum extent feasible, provision shall be made in the design of developments for interconnections with existing or planned streets and pedestrian, bikeway or trail systems unless the Estes Valley Planning Commission determines that such interconnections would have adverse impacts on open spaces, wetlands, sensitive environmental areas or other significant natural areas. Transit Network The popular Elkhorn Express served over 30,000 riders in 2014. The Downtown Visitor Center is the hub to the free Estes Valley Transit System. Routes The Town of Estes Park provides a free shuttle service from satellite parking areas at the Fairgrounds to the Visitor Center. The Elkhorn Express circulates from the Visitor Center, down Elkhorn Avenue to the west end of Downtown, and back to the Visitor Center. The Elkhorn Express completes this loop 2-3 times an hour, depending on traffic conditions. The shuttle system also serves Rocky Mountain National Park, the YMCA of the Rockies, campgrounds, hotels and motels. Shuttle service is also provided to workforce housing such as the Talon’s Point and Falcon Ridge. The Elkhorn Express includes a bike rack to help cyclists through the busy downtown area. Shuttles operate from June to mid-September. Shuttles begin running at 8:00 AM and provide service through the evening hours. Ridership The free shuttle system has proven to be popular with residents and guests alike. Ridership has steadily increased over the years. Ridership of the YMCA and Campgrounds routes increased over 10,000 people from 2012 to 2014. Because transit is provided by buses, routes and schedules can be easily revised with the ebb and flow of demand on specific routes. As of summer 2015, the system has served over half a million riders. The shuttle system eliminates over 30,000 vehicles trips per year, helping reduce overall traffic congestion in the Estes Valley. Road Network Level of Service One measure of describing how well road systems function is referred to as a Level of Service (LOS). Level of service is a grading scale from “A” to “F”. This system is based on the Transportation Research Board Highway Capacity Manual. A 1996 summer weekday Level of Service indicates unacceptable levels of service exist on US 36 and Highway 7 near the downtown area, US 34 through the downtown, Moraine Avenue to the Rocky Mountain National Park Beaver Meadows Entrance. The local service roads within the study area, such as Moccasin Circle Drive, have excellent levels of service. Level of Service is a scale that measures the amount of traffic that a roadway or intersection can accommodate, based on such factors as maneuverability, driver dissatisfaction, and delay. Replace with Level of Service map Traffic Congestion Traffic volume is one of the major concerns to the town. In 2003 the Town experienced 30 days of highly congested over-capacity roadway conditions in downtown; by 2012 this number had grown to 45 days. In a survey conducted by the Town in 2011, visitors to Estes Park identified roadway congestion and travel delays as the most significant negative impacts to the visitor experience. The roadways with the greatest volumes include Big Thompson Avenue, Elkhorn Avenue, Moraine Avenue, and Saint Vrain. These roads provide the primary means of access to the downtown area and Rocky Mountain National Park. In contrast to the very high volume of routes through downtown and to the park, the outlying roadways have lower traffic volumes. Weekday-Weekend Variation There is a significant variation in traffic by month and between weekday and weekend traffic within the Town. 2040 Traffic Projection Community Development staff have coordinated with the Northern Front Range Metropolitan Planning Organization for 2040 traffic projections. These projections are based on current traffic patterns and land use regulations. The Northern Front Range Metropolitan Planning Organization is an association of local communities working together to improve regional transportation and air quality. Though the Town of Estes Park is not a formal member, Community Development staff coordinates with the NFRMPO through association with Larimer County to assist in overall transportation coordination. The NFRMPO does long-range and short-range planning and prioritizes which projects in those plans will receive state and federal funding. NFRMPO is a nonprofit public organization funded through federal and state grants, and local funds. The goal of the NFRMPO is to enhance air quality and mobility among northern Colorado communities, and between the North Front Range and the Denver Metro, by developing cooperative working relationships and financial partnerships among our member governments, the Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT), Federal Highway Administration (FHA), the Federal Transit Administration (FTA), and the private sector. Parking Parking has long been a seasonal problem in Estes Park. Parking studies have been completed in 2006 and 2013. These studies include several recommendations, including improvements such as re-striping parking lots to increase efficiency, implementation of a transit system to shuttle visitors from the Fairgrounds to Downtown, and study the feasibility of a parking structure. Parking studies have been completed in 2006 and 2013. Strategies and Policies Strategies to increase mobility and reduce congestion The traffic and parking congestion, pedestrian and bicyclists safety, and overall declining level of service require a multi-faceted strategy. There are two competing mobility issues facing Estes Park: 1. Eliminate or reduce the congestion in the downtown area and on roadways leading to the downtown area. 2. Maintain access to business, residential, and recreational facilities. The following strategies were first identified in the 1996 Estes Valley Plan, and were the basis for the 2003 Transportation Alternatives Study: • Create Bypass routes • Create Parking Management Plan • Provide Alternative Modes of Transportation • Provide future parking outside of downtown. • Provide a connection between RMNP and the Town. Interagency Cooperation Because of the intersection of local, county, state and federal roads, transportation issues require strong collaboration. This relationship is excellent, and should be continued in the future. The Town has partnered with the State of Colorado and the Federal Highways Administration to address congestion, including satellite parking lots, structured parking, transit, and downtown one-way system. These efforts should continue in the future, and should include cooperation with the Northern Front Range Metropolitan Planning Organization. Cooperation with state and federal agencies have funded many improvements over the last decade, including shuttle parking at the fairgrounds, parking structure at the Visitors Center, one-way couplet system through downtown, and shuttle systems. It is critical that the successful cooperative efforts between the Town and RMNP be maintained to address both the short and long-term circulation and parking needs for Estes Park. Long Range Transportation Plan The Long Range Transportation Plan presented in this map defines the transportation improvements and recommendations for the community. Because of the physical limitations of the circulation system within the Town of Estes Park, the long range transportation plan will require both highway and transit improvements. Replace with revised map: show bypass routes, include functional classification, interceptor parking lots, downtown transit, etc. The revised map will replicate Map 5.10 in the current comprehensive plan Transportation Policies  Encourage a comprehensive and balanced transportation system for the Valley, while maintaining a local road system that is consistent with the rural mountain resort character of the Valley.  Promote street system connections between developments and promote an interconnected roadway system throughout the community which minimizes cul-de-sacs.  Provide a street linkage between U.S. 34 and U.S. 36 west of downtown.  Encourage roadway standards that allow for preservation of distinctive landforms and significant vegetation within the right- of-way without sacrificing safety.  Encourage an adequate blend of public and private parking for both residents and visitors.  Create a comprehensive and integrated trail system for the Estes Valley.  Implement access control improvements as development occurs.  Encourage movement toward alternative modes of transportation.  Define the roles of public and private transit providers in order to create more efficient operations.  Encourage the Rocky Mountain National Park (RMNP) to continue to contribute to the public transit link between the RNMP and the Town.